Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 2.827825 3.266296 3.747632 4.314880 4.964770 5.685765 6.546045
2025-01-26 2.249799 2.831685 3.524155 4.407652 5.503676 6.817482 8.510884
2025-02-02 1.914406 2.597141 3.468742 4.659971 6.242610 8.269885 11.060901
2025-02-09 1.600519 2.323255 3.306083 4.734730 6.752468 9.493921 13.494754
2025-02-16 1.350253 2.084443 3.141764 4.766836 7.191961 10.665756 16.006723
2025-02-23 1.114801 1.822023 2.895945 4.633575 7.361163 11.461725 18.073423
2025-03-02 0.911129 1.570612 2.622705 4.408213 7.345196 11.961818 19.738401
2025-03-09 0.796294 1.441393 2.518085 4.426686 7.702661 13.064584 22.461214
2025-03-16 0.679631 1.288892 2.350419 4.311560 7.816068 13.775062 24.614479
2025-03-23 0.636920 1.260059 2.388853 4.553645 8.565051 15.623834 28.900084
2025-03-30 0.586234 1.207814 2.376543 4.699395 9.155221 17.255849 32.982614
2025-04-06 0.522593 1.120171 2.285299 4.682752 9.438534 18.361373 36.223012
2025-04-13 0.439582 0.982759 2.083419 4.433009 9.261991 18.628311 37.991645
2025-04-20 0.410834 0.954516 2.095598 4.614345 9.960258 20.646078 43.390313
2025-04-27 0.396666 0.955802 2.168953 4.932661 10.978893 23.411185 50.605691
2025-05-04 0.366354 0.915646 2.147771 5.044733 11.576985 25.392213 56.443977
2025-05-11 0.335132 0.868180 2.103435 5.098685 12.054435 27.173669 62.064595
2025-05-18 0.295415 0.793408 1.985798 4.967903 12.100286 28.033249 65.781980
2025-05-25 0.254835 0.709421 1.833798 4.733287 11.873144 28.259020 68.099997
2025-06-01 0.233672 0.672440 1.790694 4.756925 12.259435 29.909148 73.854065
2025-06-08 0.207571 0.617723 1.695176 4.635721 12.276611 30.704727 77.694274
2025-06-15 0.202043 0.619391 1.745449 4.896761 13.282012 33.952252 87.772486
2025-06-22 0.192096 0.606742 1.755941 5.053962 14.040534 36.682151 96.878228